While
many Nigerians eagerly await the return of MMM, popular columnist,
Abimbola Adelakun, has compared T.B. Joshua's prophetic declarations
with people's belief in the ponzi scheme.
TB Joshua
There is a line from a play by Kola Onadipe that I read in primary
school, Halima Must Not Die, that returns to me on days like this one.
In the play, someone had asked the lead character why she allowed
herself to be deceived by religious charlatans who were simply milking
her for her money. She responded, “If you cannot get the truth to buy,
won’t you buy a lie?”
As I type this article about an ongoing moneymaking scheme in town
called MMM, and the General Overseer of The Synagogue, Church Of All
Nations, Pastor Temitope Balogun Joshua, I am aware that there can be no
objective definition of “truth” or “lie” in either case.
Here and there, Nigerians talk about MMM, some kind of “wonder
bank” where you invest some money and within weeks, you get a 30 per
cent return. The scheme is apparently popular and a few people in my
circle are involved as well. The MMM scheme does not work like other
Ponzi schemes but it uses a business strategy that is unsustainable in
the long run. The question is not whether it will crash or not, it is a
matter of when. I asked acquaintances who were involved if they were
aware that the programme was a resurgence of “Wonder Bank” that
collapsed just some years ago. They were quite aware even though they
were positive that the MMM would last longer than “Wonder Bank”. I also
asked if they knew that the MMM had failed in countries like South
Africa and Russia; it turns out that they knew that detail quite well
too. None of these folk, by the way, are illiterates (and no, I did not
just suggest that non-literate people are incapable of making sound
decisions). These guys are quite educated, they can access information
where and when necessary, and they know the risks involved. So, why do
it, I asked them.
One responded that it was like buying a lottery ticket but with a
higher guarantee of returns. They all said they have seen people’s
investments go down in the banks, stock exchange, forex trading, and
similar ventures. If the MMM fails, what will be new? While they have
learnt to hedge their bets more perspicaciously, they are also mentally
prepared for the inevitable. No government, they swore, can dissuade
them from the venture.
While I concede that not every investor is as discerning, and some
poor people out there are genuinely convinced that the MMM is running a
shadowy Wall Street, the interactions with these friends gave me another
perspective into the reasoning that drives people to make such risky
and desperate investment choices. Not everyone is an ignoramus expecting
the soil to yield a harvest beyond the earth’s abilities; some of the
investors are simply trying to cash into a dysfunctional system. Like
they noted, a number of financial institutions have collapsed in
Nigeria, taking people’s money and livelihoods with them. The
institutions vested with responsibilities to prevent and punish these
failures have not always been diligent. Some of the individuals behind
the failures of those financial institutions are currently seated in the
highest echelons of our legislative institutions, the hallow (and
hollow) chambers; they are the ones who now write the ethical codes for
our society. When a society is short of truth and justice, who is
surprised people buy a lie and panel beat it?
Lately, the House of Representatives called on law enforcement
agencies to arrest the promoters of the MMM. I wish I could look those
lawmakers in the eye and tell them how ridiculous they sound. If they
were a little more reflective, they would find that the biggest Ponzi
scheme operating in Nigeria today is organised government; the lawmakers
themselves are a major beneficiary of the fraudulent project of
governance. The Representatives can spend all day pontificating on
Nigerians’ reckless habit of throwing their monies into the MMM, and how
much they will hurt when the venture goes burst, they will not get
anywhere. People’s patronage of the MMM is a symptom of Nigeria’s
current dysfunctionality and if the lawmakers listen to people’s
justification of their investment, they will understand that every
self-destructive habit runs on an in-built logic.
The rather rational approach of the MMM investors made me think
about Pastor TB Joshua and his prophetic enterprise in the wake of the
United States of America presidential election. Anyone who knows Joshua
knows that prophecies – or informed guesses, if you are a cynic – are
his specialisation. He is well-known in not only Nigeria and Africa, but
in fact, parts of Latin America as well. Recently, while working on an
academic paper on politics and religion in Africa, I asked friends from
Ghana and South Africa to give me the name of pastors whose activities
affect their local politics so I could read up on them. The two of them
mentioned Joshua before their local pastors!
When Joshua dabbled in predicting the winner of the US presidential
election, you could tell that he was reading the same tea leaves as
everyone else. He was most likely following the polls that gave the lead
to Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump. Quantitative polling, any social
scientist knows, has one huge limitation: it does not capture human
complexity or reveal attitudes which people choose to keep private. In a
post-election polling, people admitted they kept their choice of
presidential candidate, Trump, personal because they were embarrassed at
his lack of character and poor conduct. Like many people, Joshua
believed too much in the nobility and sophistication of Americans to
have expected they would vote a seeming buffoon like Trump as president.
Joshua’s “prophecy” missed things by a mile and immediately it was
obvious Trump would win, people congregated on the Internet to ridicule
him and his ridiculous habit of prophecies.
I knew at the time the jokes started that this incident would
change nothing in Joshua’s fortunes. One only needs to look at a popular
Abuja pastor and the way he parried his alleged adultery scandal to
realise that religious leaders know their audience. They know most
people in their congregation will never walk away in disgust, not
necessarily because they lack the gumption or that personal integrity
means nothing to them, but because the religious leaders embody the
truth that works for them in some other ways. Paul Ricouer, a
philosopher, describes people’s acceptance of religious truths as levels
of naiveté. First naiveté is the point people take religious truth
literally; second naiveté, they accept it as symbolism and their
attitude is more of pragmatic adjustments to the realities of how their
world is structured and which would not change even if they walk away
from their faith.
By the way, Joshua won a curious victory nevertheless: although
Clinton lost the Electoral College, she won the popular vote. Joshua
triumphantly hung to that little detail in a statement he released to
clarify his “prophecy”. He went further to suggest that those who now
gloat at his gaffe are simply not on the same spiritual wavelength as he
is. Rather than admit he is wrong, he quickly muddles the pool and
pushes back at his critics for their lack of second sight. On his social
media pages, his followers and devotees have lapped up this explanation
and they are quietly bleating, “Emmanuel!” to the tune of this
charlatanism.
After Joshua’s church in Lagos collapsed last year, one would have
expected his members to realise that prophecy or not, he does not see
further than his own nose. Instead, they rallied around him and even
spread his story of a mysterious aircraft. For the life of me, I do not
believe everybody in such a large church is that undiscerning, they
might have simply accepted that even a lie could be true. You only need
to shift your meaning of “truth” and there, it works just as well.
***
Written by Abimbola Adelakun/The Punch
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